STS Analytics · Units only

We price the game first.

Then we compare that number to the book. A play is official only when the edge clears 4% against a sharp no‑vig price. Every official pick is posted free in the Sweat the Spread Telegram channel and on this website.

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Public record

The record

—graded official bets
—units
—ROI (units won ÷ units risked)

Past bets are a report, not a forecast.

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Units won or lost per day on graded official plays (all sports, tennis included), by game date.

Latest graded

Today's official picks

Picks

Every official pick lives here and in the Sweat the Spread Telegram channel. Lines move, so check the price at your book.

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Methodology

How a price gets made

  1. 01

    Build our own number

    The model prices the game before we look at the book.

  2. 02

    Compare to sharp no‑vig

    A play is official only when the edge clears 4%.

  3. 03

    Size in units

    1u standard and max. Gap plays up to 2u. Prices longer than +200 at 0.5u.

  4. 04

    Grade everything

    Every published play is official and goes on the record.

Picks are free in Telegram. The Daily Betting Breakdown is the paid product.

Get the breakdown